Italy vs Spain Match ‘To Qualify’ Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back Italy to qualify @ 1.75 with Betway
Both teams have shown the necessary qualities to go on and win this tournament: good managers, ability to score goals, good in defence, able to close out games when ahead, strong options off the bench and good discipline during the match.
So there’s not much to choose between them and the head-to-head suggests things have been extremely close every time they’ve played.
However, Italy have been just that little bit more consistent and may also be a little bit fresher.
Last time out Spain needed extra-time and penalties to get the better of Switzerland, while Italy managed to win in 90 minutes.
That extra stamina in those legs could make all the difference here and though they could need extra time and penalties, I do fancy Italy to progress.
Italy v Spain betting odds have the Italians at 1.75 to progress and that will do me just fine.
Under 2.5 Goals
Recommended Bet: Back Under 2.5 goals @ 1.6 with 10CRIC
Italy won 2-1 last time out against Belgium, the same score they’d beaten Austria by in the previous round.
Before that it was 1-0 against Wales and prior to that, two 3-0 wins in their first two Group games.
But I can’t see this being high-scoring.
Rather, I think it will be a tense-low scoring game that’s more in keeping with what’s happened when these two play each other.
Five of the last six between them stayed under 2.5 goals played across numerous competitions, the exception being a 3-0 win for Spain just under three years ago.
If it looks like it will be low on goals, it’s because that might just be the case, so bet accordingly.
Italy vs Spain Hot Bet!
Recommended Bet: Back Lorenzo Insigne to be first goalscorer @ 7.5 with 10CRIC
I’m of the view that this could be a low-scoring game decided by a single goal.
That’s precisely why I ‘ve just explained why I think this will be under 2.5 goals and why that represents a good bet.
But of course I could be wrong and even if it does stay low on goals, someone’s bound to score one!
And that someone could be Napoli’s excellent Lorenzo Insigne.
He’s played just four of their five matches so far after being rested against Wales and in those four games came up with two goals.
A return of 22 goals in 58 games all season (including the Euros) suggests he’s not as prolific as a Ronaldo or Mbappe but those are good numbers nonetheless.
In this case, it might be worth pushing the boat out a bit and going with him for first goalscorer rather than just to score.
It’s 7.5 rather than 4.35 he scores first and that looks the way to go.
Italy vs Spain fun statistics
Let’s finish things off with some cool stats and trivia about the two teams before they get under way.
- Italy are unbeaten in almost three years in all competitions.
- Italy have conceded just two goals in their last 13 games.
- Both teams have scored in three of Spain’s five games at the Euros.
- Referee Felix Brych has shown just six yellow cards in four games at the Euros, four of which were shown in Belgium v Portugal.