England vs New Zealand Betting Tips & Predictions | 3rd Test

England vs New Zealand betting tips third test 2022
James Pacheco profile image

Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Updated 21/06/2022

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

After the top England vs New Zealand betting tips ahead of the action at Headingley? Course you are! You’re about to get them.

And in addition to the top tips, we also have the best online cricket betting analysis, including team news, recent form, the head-to-head record and of course a look at how the Headingley wicket might play as this England v New Zealand Series draws to a close.

The match starts at 3.30pm IST on Thursday June 23 at the iconic Headingley Ground, in Leeds.




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England vs New Zealand Betting Odds

My cricket betting tips for the Third England vs New Zealand Test are coming right up and I’m about to tell you why England are the bet to win yet again and take the Series 3-0.

They’re in a good place right now, have plenty of players in form and can take advantage of a New Zealand side struggling with injuries and (understandably) low morale. So England it is.

You can also find out what my betting tip is for who can win the toss.

Bet Odds Site
Winner:ENG 2.14
Toss: ENG 1.9

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England vs New Zealand Betting Winner Prediction

Recommended Bet: Back New Zealand to win @ 2.14 with Parimatch

England won’t be able to carry on winning matches from almost impossible positions time and time again. Sooner or later their attacking approach may cost them or they might just run into some bad luck.

But they look to have the tools to win here at Headingley and make it 3-0.

An attack of Broad, Anderson and Stokes in particular is always going to be competitive and they finally come into a Test with batsmen feeling confident and good about their game.

Root has two centuries across his last two matches, Bairstow and Pope one each, while Stokes has two fifties. Alex Lees and Ben Foakes have also got to fifty so far this Series.

They have a good record at Trent Bridge with five wins there in their last 10 and as we’ll see in a second, three wins here on the spin.

They also have plenty of confidence and positive energy in the camp and with the Series already won, will be happy to take risks and go for the win yet again.

New Zealand on the other hand have suffered from bad luck with dropped catches and injury.

They’ve now lost two important players in Colin de Grandhomme and Kyle Jamieson to injury while Williamson is suffering with a strain on his elbow of his own and also recovering from Covid, though he’ll play here.

So, we might have another topsy-turvy game like the last one but England look good to come out on top.

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England’s Recent Form

We could watch Test cricket for another 10 years and would be unlikely to witness what we saw at Trent Bridge.

It’s been a week since it happened but many of us are still scratching our heads at how England managed to turn around the match after conceding 553 in the first innings. Or how they chased 299 on Day Five, with 22 overs to spare.

Part of the reason for all that was that the wicket in Nottingham stayed pretty flat all the way throughout. But just as big a reason was the intent.

Under new skipper Ben Stokes and new coach Brendon McCullum, they never stopped believing they could fight back and end up chasing what was a daunting target, with so much ease.

In normal circumstances it would have been a good effort to secure the win in the last few overs; they did it with well over an hour to spare.

If trying to win every Test even if it means losing a few along the way is the way England are going to play, then that’s great news for cricket. And entertainment will surely always be on the cards in an era when many have complained Test cricket can be a bit too pedestrian.

Heroes from Trent Bridge included centurions Joe Root, Ollie Pope and man-of-the-match Jonny Bairstow, whose fourth-innings 136 off 92 belonged more in the IPL than in the Test arena, but was essential in their win.

Ben Stokes made contributions with both bat and ball, while Stuart Broad and James Anderson took 10 wickets between them.

The only player who could lose his place is Matthew Potts, who had a relatively quiet game.

Craig Overton may be given a chance if they decide to change a winning team.

England’s Likely XI

Lees, Crawley, Pope, Root, Stokes, Bairstow, Foakes, Potts, Broad, Leach, Anderson.

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New Zealand’s Recent Form

If England can hardly believe they won that Second Test, then New Zealand will be wondering how they lost it.

They did plenty right, including getting an excellent first-innings score and having England in trouble in the fourth innings after taking early wickets.

But they were guilty of letting the hosts off the hook.

They should have scored a few more runs the second time they batted and then they let the likes of Bairstow and Stokes get settled before launching an assault which got England home.

Mind you, they were a tad unlucky. There were a few dropped catches and they had to make do without key bowler Kyle Jamieson in the fourth innings, who picked up an injury.

The Series is now 2-0 to England with a game to go but it could easily have been 2-0 New Zealand, or at the very least, 1-1.

They’ve lost some of the key moments of those first two matches but will look to cut back on mistakes in this one.

Jamieson has flown home as a result of that injury and is likely to be replaced by the very experienced Neil Wagner, very unlucky to miss out in those first two matches.

Regular skipper Kane Williamson missed the last match with Covid and should return for this one but with everyone getting runs at one stage or another, it’s not so easy to see who can make way.

Maybe Henry Nicholls will be the one sacrificed.

New Zealand’s Likely XI

Latham, Young, Conway, Williamson, Mitchell, Blundell, Bracewell, Southee, Wagner, Boult, Patel.

England vs New Zealand Head-to-Head

In terms of England vs New Zealand head-to-head, these two have played each other 109 times in Tests since their first meeting in 1930.

And it’s very much advantage England, who won 50 of them. There were 47 draws and just 12 wins for the Black Caps.

But if we take a look at games played over the last 10 years, it’s extremely even: four wins for them, five for England and four draws.

Looking at matches played on English soil, 56 of them, and it’s very much advantage England.

Won 32, drew 20 and lost just six. Are England about to make it three in a row?

Venue & conditions

England have played 10 times at Headingley since 2010.

The hosts won five of those and better still, won each of the last three played here, beating Pakistan (2018), Australia (2019) and India (2021).

But it was also here that they lost to Pakistan (2010), Sri Lanka (2014) New Zealand (2015) and perhaps most surprisingly of all, the West Indies back in 2017, who chased a big total to win on the fifth day.

The only draw across those last 10 games was against South Africa in 2012.

Last year against India, England bowled out the tourists for just 78 so the possibility of early assistance for the bowlers is certainly there. And back in 2019 this was the venue for that once-in-a lifetime performance from Ben Stokes against Australia, who scored 135 not out batting with the tail to get England home.

On that occasion, Australia were all out for 179 and England for just 67, further proof that it can be hard to bat here in the first and second innings.

There could be some showers on days two through to five but it doesn’t look too bad so we shouldn’t expect to lose too much time to the weather.