India vs South Africa Betting Tips: 3rd T20I

India vs South Africa Betting Tips: 3rd T20I
James Pacheco profile image

Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Updated 30/09/2022

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

It’s the third and final match of this India vs South Africa T20I Series and we’re at Indore this time. If you’d like some top India vs South Africa betting tips for this match, keep on reading because we’re about to tell you what we’re going for and why.

Our online cricket betting analysis of this match also includes everything you need to know for the match on Tuesday, October 4th, with a start time of 7:00 pm IST. 

Pure Win

Payments

Betway

Payments

India vs South Africa Betting Odds

My cricket betting tips are below ahead of this third and final T20I between India and South Africa, the last in this Series which India have already won after coming good on Sunday.

But it’s still important preparation with the World Cup just around the corner.

I’m about to explain why I’m swerving the match-winner market and instead, turning my attention to the ‘century-scored’ market where someone from either side getting to 100 ranks a really good bet.

I’ve also got the toss winner prediction and a bet on an extremely reliable SA player for top batsman honours.

Bet Odds Website
Any Player to score a century 7.8
Toss: South Africa. 1.9
HOT BET: Back Aiden Markram to be SA Top Batsman. 4.6

India vs South Africa Betting Winner Prediction

Recommended Bet: Any player to score a century @ 7.8 with Pure Win.

This Series has been a good reminder of the famous expression: the best-laid plans of mice and men can go awry.

South Africa looked a good bet at big odds ahead of the 1st T20I but lost after a really poor batting display when they batted first.

In the second match we wanted to back SA again at good odds but only if they chased.

They did chase but their target was just too big and to make matters worse, they lost two early wickets.

So what do we do here?

Batting first here at Indore is a considerable advantage so backing SA if they bat first this time is tempting. But the fly in the ointment is that India have been excellent chasers recently, so even if SA get to around 190, India could easily get home.

Hoping for another repeat of India batting first and posting a big score is an option.

But has two problems: they’d only be around odds of 1.4 if they bat first and they showed they were very expensive with the ball last time out; so even 190 might not be safe.

You can see how there’s no real reliable betting game plan! So we’ll swerve the match winner market entirely and go with a century to be scored by any player.

Last time out, two Indian batsmen got past 50 last time out (Kohli also almost got there with 49), one South African batsman got past fifty and of course David Miller actually got to 100.

Proof that there will be some in-form batsmen out there on Tuesday.

Add to that the high-scoring nature of the ground and that neither side is bowling well at the moment and you can see why a second consecutive century could be on.

And at odds of 7.8, you don’t need to put too much money on it.

Our Pure Win review explains what we like about this betting site and why it’s one of the ones we recommend the most.

India vs South Africa Odds for Hot Bet

Recommended Bet: Back Aiden Markram to be South Africa Top Batsman @ 4.6 with Pure Win.

Twice Aiden Markram has made good starts for South Africa and looked like he was going to be their top batsman, twice he couldn’t quite get there.

He was going really well on Sunday with 33 off just 19 before getting out to Axar Patel, so we know he’s in form.

He deserves some trust this time that he can get it right at the third time of asking.

With the possible exception of Quinton de Kock, he’s SA’s most reliable batsman.

Given Markram is ranked fourth in the ICC T20I rankings and de Kock is 20th, you could argue it’s Markram who’s the better player.

At odds of 4.6, he’s definitely worth a bet.

Want to know why Pure Win is such a highly recommended site and what bonuses you can get there as a new and existing customer? Find out in our Pure Win review. 

Indian flag for South Africa vs India Betting Tip

India’s Recent Form

Sunday’s win which also wrapped up the Series after India took an unassailable 2-0 lead was what you could call a game of two halves.

With the bat they did just about everything right.

KL Rahul and Rohit Sharma got them off to a decent start, even if Sharma’s strike rate wasn’t particularly good for such a high-scoring game, before Virat Kohli and Sky Yadav then took over.

Kohli ended unbeaten on a superb 49 from 28 and Yadav was even better with 61 off 22, just the latest of a series of absolute batting masterclasses. He simply has to play at the World Cup.

And right at the end, Dinesh Karthik played his part, too.

His 17 off seven may have just seemed like the icing on the cake but ended up being an important contribution in its own right. Karthik needs to be in the WC team, as well.

But if the batting was impressive, the bowling wasn’t.

They did well to claim two early wickets through Arshdeep Singh but he ended up going at 15.5 an over, with Harshal Patel not much better in conceding 45 off his four.

The usually reliable Axar Patel was expensive too, with Ravi Ashwin just a bit better.

Only Deepak Chahar was good in terms of economy rate, conceding just 24 runs.

Had SA started a bit better and India could have lost despite posting a superb 237/3.

Death bowling continues to be an issue and the possible WC absence of Jasprit Bumrah, nursing an injury, creates a massive headache for the Selectors.

Virat Kohli has been rested for this one so Shreyas Iyer should get a game.

India’s Likely XI

Sharma, KL Rahul, Iyer, Yadav, Pant, Karthik, Axar Patel, Chahar, Ashwin, Arshdeep Singh, Patel.

South African flag for South Africa vs India Betting Tips

South Africa’s Recent Form

Just like India, they bowled poorly and batted extremely well.

Of the bowlers, only Keshav Maharaj was impressive. Not only did he take two wickets but he conceded just 5.75 an over when everyone else was going at 11 or 12.

That included key man Kagiso Rabada having a day to forget, while the other quicks, Anrich Nortje, Lungi Ngidi and Wayne Parnell were no better.

Yes it was a good batting wicket and India batted well but too often, they got their lines and lengths wrong and paid the price.

The early dismissals of Temba Bavuma and Riley Rossouw meant the chase was never really on but Quinton de Kock (69 off 48) and David Miller (106 off 47) deserve lots of credit for keeping on going till the bitter end.

It was remarkable that in the end they lost by just 16 runs, all things considered.

Skipper Bavuma carries on being a massive burden to the team.

That’s now two ducks in a row in the key position of an opener and worse still: he ate up seven balls before getting out. Had those seven gone for say 10 runs and they would have come very close to winning.

SA would be well-advised to drop Bavum as captain for the World Cup and give the captaincy to David Miller or Keshav Maharaj. And only pick Bavuma as a batsman if they think he deserves it.

But that’s all pretty unlikely to happen.

South Africa’s Likely XI

De Kock, Bavuma, Rossouw, Markram, Stubbs, Miller, Parnell, Maharaj, Rabada, Shamsi, Nortje.

India vs South Africa Head-to-Head

In the India vs South Africa head-to-head, it’s India who are 13-8 ahead after Sunday’s win.

Venue & Conditions

We’re at the Holkare Stadium in Indore.

This is another wicket that’s highly likely to produce a run-fllled match where batting first is the way to go.

Seven of the last ten T20I matches have been won by the team batting first here at Indore.

Even though most teams prefer to chase these days, scores of 200+ plus are rarely chased with scoreboard pressure making the job so much harder.

Especially if you lose one or two early wickets. Just look at what happened with SA on Sunday.

So expect at least 180 to be reached for whoever bats first; 190-200 should be enough to win the game.