England vs Pakistan Winner Prediction
Recommended Bet: Back Pakistan to win @ 2.68 with Pure Win
Time to pick the match winner now. This time round the England v Pakistan betting odds on Pakistan are 2.68, having been 2.36 on the tourists for the Second T20I and 2.8 in the first game.
That means the England v Pakistan win probability for Pakistan is 37.3%. That doesn’t look right. Yes, England are way ahead on head-to-head and yes they won the last one quite convincingly.
But Pakistan won convincingly themselves on Friday, so it works in both ways and that percentage is too low. Or the odds on them are too high…whichever way you want to look at it.
We all know that Pakistan are going to click some days and not others but we also know when they click, they can beat anyone.
Given they’re considerable outsiders, that ‘if’ element is something we’re happy to accept. I also note Pakistan’s 2-1 winning record against England at Old Trafford as a reason for my tip on Azam’s men.
Check out this Pure Win review for a reminder of why it’s a top betting site.
England vs Pakistan Top Batsman Bet
Recommended Bet: Back Sohaib Maqsood to be Pakistan Top Batsman @ 5.0 with Betway
Azam and Mohammad Rizwan have each won the Top Pakistan batsman market in this Series. Last time out it was Rizwan’s 37 that won it, though Shadab Khan’s unbeaten 36 came mighty close.
Here’s our ultimate guide to top batsman batting in cricket where I discuss exactly the sort of scenario we have here.
Azam and Rizwan are the likeliest winners because they’re the best batsmen and the openers. But then again, they’re the short-priced favourites.
My strategy ahead of the first two games was to look for alternatives who were much bigger prices and therefore offered better betting value. As it happens, they didn’t win, but I think the thinking was right. One of the things discussed in that guide was looking for players who bat higher than their odds suggest.
And that’s the case here with Sohaib Maqsood. He’s been batting at three so should have a good chance at least in terms of facing enough balls and though his career strike rate of 116 in T20Is (another factor discussed in the guide) isn’t that high, it’s improved recently.
If he doesn’t win, he doesn’t win, but odds of 5.0 are too good to turn down. Check out this Betway review for a reminder of why it’s a top betting site.
Today’s England vs Pakistan Hot Bet
Recommended bet: Back Moeen Ali to be England Top Bowler @ 8.5 with Betway
And talking of wrong prices, how about the 8.5 on Moeen Ali being England’s top bowler?
As it happens, his 2-32 wasn’t quite enough to win because Saqib Mahmood took 3-33 but he should play here again and with the World Cup coming up in the UAE, England will want to give their spinners plenty of overs in preparation.
He may not bowl all four overs but he should certainly bowl at least three and that could be enough, especially given the odds he is.
And that’s the last of our betting predictions.
England vs Pakistan fun statistics
Let’s talk stats ahead of the game to round things off.
- England have been in good form of late in T20Is with nine wins in their last 13.
- Moeen Ali faced just 16 balls for his 36, with six fours and a six. That means he hit 44.4% of his balls for boundaries.
- Despite being a frontline bowler, Chris Jordan only bowled one Over last time out, which went for 12 runs.
- In a high-scoring game in the Second T20I at Headingley, only Jos Buttler reached 50 from either team.