Pakistan vs Australia Betting Tips & Predictions | Test Series

Pakistan vs Australia betting tips predictions 3rd test
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Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Updated 18/03/2022

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

After the historic stats, the Pakistan vs Australia betting tips, the pitch report and everything else you need to know before the Third Test gets under way?

Yes? In that case, find everything you need for online cricket betting ahead of the action in Lahore, including our picks for who could be players to watch from either side.

The Pakistan vs Australia Third Test starts on Monday 21st March at Lahore and runs until 23rd March and is the third and final one of the Series. So all to play for.

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Pakistan vs Australia Betting Odds

Time for the top Pakistan v Australia betting predictions ahead of the Third Test.

It could well be another draw, the third in a row. I’ll tell you my reasoning for that and explain why neither side would be too unhappy if that’s how things panned out.

I’ll also give you my prediction of the toss winner market.

Bet Odds Site
Match-Winner: The Draw 2.7 Pure Win
Toss: Pakistan 1.9 Betway

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Pakistan flag

Pakistan Recent Form

Pakistan drew the Second Test but there was a lot more to it than that.

First of all, they deserve massive credit in not only scoring 443/7 in the fourth innings against a very strong Australian bowling attack but also for batting as long as they did.

Australia held all the trump cards going into the last day and a half so it’s even more remarkable that for a while Pakistan looked like they could actually have won the match.

Abdullah Shafique got 96, Mohammad Rizwan an unbeaten 104 and best of all was the barely believable 196 from skipper Babar Azam, which was his highest score in Test matches.

It shows the quality and determination that this Pakistan side has because lots of other teams would have lost that game from that position.

Team News

The normally very reliable Fawad Alam got 0 and just 9 in his two knocks last time out after not batting at all in either innings in the First Test.

But he’s been in good form over the last couple of years so the lack of runs last time out is unlikely to cost him his place.

Sajid Khan has been a bit quiet as well over these first two games, picking up just three wickets across them and not scoring many runs.

They could think about bringing in Haris Rauf for him, although they may feel that playing Rauf would weaken their batting a bit too much.

So they may just stick with Khan anyway, especially if they feel they want the extra spinner.

Meaning the most likely scenario is Pakistan remaining unchanged.

Player to Watch: Faheem Ashraf

Ashraf didn’t have a particularly good game against Australia last time out. A genuine all-rounder, he managed just four and zero and only took two wickets in the game.

But everyone is allowed a bad day at the office and he’s a far better player than that.

24 wickets in 14 Tests and four fifties at an average of 31.80 are good figures at Test level and he’s one of those players, much like Ben Stokes, who always seems to contribute one way or another. That is after all, what all-rounders are meant to do.

It’s 13.24 that he top scores with the bat in the first innings and 5.28 that he’s their top bowler in the first innings. Prices with 10CRIC.

And here’s our 10CRIC review, where we explain why it’s a reliable, trustworthy and solid betting site for Indian customers.

Pakistan’s Likely XI

Imam-ul-Haq, Abdullah Shafique, Azhar Ali, Babar Azam, Fawad Alam, Mohammad Rizwan, Faheem Ashraf, Nauman Ali, Hasan Ali, Sajid Khan, Shaheen Shah Afridi.

Australian flag logo to represent the team in the T20 World Cup

Australia’s Recent Form

There will always be those who will feel that Pat Cummins should maybe have declared earlier and that if he had, an extra hour or so could have made all the difference in terms of bowling Pakistan out.

But to be fair to Cummins, he gave his team plenty of time to finish the job. It was more down to the excellent innings of Shafique, Azam and Rizwan that the Aussies didn’t win than any late declaration.

Usman Khawaja is in brilliant form at the moment. So far he’s scored 97, 160 and 44 not out so has clearly been the standout performer with the bat for Australia.

Nathan Lyon was good in the last match as well with four fourth innings wickets after a quiet First Test.

Team News

After a long, long wait for Mitch Swepson’s Test debut, we may have to wait a while more till he plays again.

He did take two first innings wickets including that of Azam but then had a nightmare in the fourth innings, going wicketless and conceding 156 runs.

So they may bring back Josh Hazlewood in his place unless they feel they need two frontline spinners.

If it’s the latter, they may also think about playing Hazlewood instead of Starc, who may be a bit tired after playing two Tests in two weeks in tough conditions.

Player to Watch: Alex Carey

Carey had to wait a long time until eventually making his Test debut aged 30. That was during the 2021/22 Ashes and only happened because of an off-field incident that saw Tim Paine first giving up the captaincy and then opting out of playing in the Series completely.

Carey had already made a name for himself in the Australia limited-overs teams but has settled well into Test cricket, generally being very reliable behind the stumps.

But as is the case with all keepers these days, he’ll be expected to score runs as well and he certainly did that in the Second Test with an excellent 93; he’ll be very disappointed that it was Babar Azam (who hardly ever bowls) who eventually dismissed him.

Let’s see if he can carry on scoring runs and giving the team great balance from number seven.

It’s 15.0 with Betway that he top scores for them in the first innings.

Australia’s Likely XI

Warner, Khawaja, Labuschagne, Smith, Head, Green, Carey, Cummins, Swepson, Lyon, Hazlewood.

Venue & conditions

We have to go all the way back to 2009 for the last time a Test match was played here.

In that game Sri Lanka scored 606 in the first innings and Pakistan were on 110/1 when terrorists attacked the Sri Lankan team bus, players were injured and the Tour was (obviously) called off.

Two of the previous three Tests had also been draws so this has obviously been a good wicket. But on the other hand, it’s been so long since Test cricket was played here that it’s hard to know what we’re going to get.

The bookies are expecting more of the same to what we’ve had so far this Series: good, flat wickets where bowlers really have to work for their dismissals.

After all, the draw is the favourite at 2.7 with Pure Win.

And here’s our Pure Win review, for your reference.

Pakistan vs Australia Head-to-Head

In the Pakistan v Australia head-to-head, they’ve played each other 67 times. Pakistan won just 15, drawing 20 and losing 33, so very much advantage Australia.

Unsurprisingly, Pakistan’s record is much better at home, though. In 22 Tests here in Pakistan, the hosts won seven, drew 12 and only lost three.

Across matches played just over the past five years at all venues, it’s three wins for Pakistan, five for Australia and three draws.

Pakistan vs Australia Head-to-Head Third Test 2022

Pakistan vs Australia Toss Prediction

Time for our Pakistan vs Australia toss winner statistics!

Australia’s winning of the toss in Karachi meant we’re back to a perfect 50/50 split in terms of tosses over the years, which we always enjoy.

Let’s go with Australia to win it again this time.

Pakistan vs Australia Toss Prediction Third Test 2022

Pakistan 34 50%
Australia 34 50%

Pakistan v Australia Winner Prediction

Recommended Bet:

Back the draw @ 2.7 with Pure Win.

One of the big problems when betting on Test matches is not knowing what sort of wicket is going to be prepared.

And it certainly doesn’t help that it’s been so long since the last time a Test was played here.

But here’s what we do know.

There have been 12 draws between the two in Pakistan over the years from 22 games, obviously a more common result than anything else.

We also know that these two teams are quite well matched in terms of ability with both possessing batsmen who can bat time and a well-balanced bowling attack. After all, the first two Tests were both drawn.

We also know that (even though it was ages ago they last played here) this is a ‘draw pitch’ and that one of the two teams will have to bowl beautifully and take all their catches or there will have to be some poor batting for a side to lose 20 wickets.

And finally, we know that a draw here wouldn’t be a bad result for the Series as a whole or for either side.

Pakistan will just about take it against a strong side and Australia will be happy to not lose in the Subcontinent once again.

So the draw at 2.7 it is.

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