Australia vs Sri Lanka Betting Tips

Australia vs Sri Lanka Betting Tips T20 World Cup 2022
James Pacheco profile image

Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Updated 24/10/2022

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

Our online cricket betting analysis and Australia v Sri Lanka betting predictions are coming up next so keep on reading because we’re going to talk you through all the important factors ahead of this important match at the World Cup.

Australia are heavy favourites to win and though they should get there in the end, a plucky Sri Lanka side may give them a few scares along the way.

So our betting strategy needs to be spot on for this one and we’re about to reveal what it is!

The match will take place at Perth Stadium on Tuesday, October 25 at 4:30 pm IST and should be a good one, so keep on reading.

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Australia vs Sri Lanka Betting Odds

Up next are our cricket betting tips for this match and Australia have all the trump cards to bounce back from Saturday’s loss and get back into contention to go all the way here with a win.

But their pre-match odds are pretty short so we’ll try and use Live Betting to get bigger odds on them and I’ll explain how to do that.

There’s also the toss prediction below so keep on reading and all will be revealed.

Bet Odds Site
Australia to win 1.5 in Live Betting
Toss: Sri Lanka. 1.85

Australia vs Sri Lanka Best Bet Prediction

Recommended Bet: Back Australia if they reach @ 1.5 in Live Betting with Blue Chip.

Australia are 1.26 while Sri Lanka are 3.55.

One team is fresh from an emphatic win, the other one is recovering from a heavy loss.

But as ever, context is everything.

Australia were beaten by a New Zealand side who played the perfect match, while Sri Lanka were very good value for their win but it was admittedly against one of the weaker sides in the competition.

Australia have very much had the best of it in recent matches against Sri Lanka so are deserved favourites to bounce back with a win.

If Sri Lanka were at full strength, we could just about make an argument for them to cause an upset. But now they’re missing two or three important players through injury, they’re up against it.

So we’ll go with our tried-and-trusted strategy of trying to get with Australia at a bigger price in Live Betting.

Sri Lanka have been starting matches well with the bat, while Australia have lost early wickets in their last few matches.

That of course means that whether Australia bat or field first, we might be able to get odds of around 1.5 on them in Live Betting if Sri Lanka strike a few early blows.

So that looks the way to play it: if the Aussies reach 1.5 in Live Betting, back them. If they don’t, don’t play at all.

And if you haven’t read it already, here’s our BlueChip review.

Australia flag for our Australia vs Sri Lanka Betting Tips

Australia Recent Form

If Murphy’s Law is that ‘everything that can possibly go wrong, will’ then that’s pretty much what happened to Australia in their opening match against New Zealand.

Well, not quite everything. At least they won the toss and in this case, they decided to field first.

But from the very first over, it was all New Zealand.

Finn Allen scored plenty of early boundaries and when he eventually got out for 41, Devon Conway took over.

The keeper/batsman scored a brilliant 92 not out off just 58 balls to win the man-of-the-match award as all of Australia’s bowlers struggled on the day.

In reply, David Warner was extremely unlucky with his dismissal but that set the wheels in motion for a series of wickets that saw Aaron Finch, Mitch Marsh, Tim David and Mathew Wade all out for less than 20.

Glenn Maxwell did his best to steady the ship with 28 off 20 but with so many wickets tumbling and the required run rate constantly rising, it was always going to be an uphill task and in the end they came nowhere near to chasing New Zealand’s 200/3.

All of which means Australia are properly up against it.

Not only did they lose but the margin of the defeat means they have a really poor net run rate (NRR).

That means they’re likely to need to win all their matches from this point onwards but they’ll also need to seriously improve that NRR with a couple of big wins.

Even then, they may have to wait for other results to go their way.

But right now, they need to focus 100% on just winning their next match.

The Aussies aren’t the sort of side to panic so they may well stick with the same XI that lost to New Zealand.

Likely XI

Warner, Finch, Marsh, Maxwell, Stoinis, David, Wade, Cummins, Starc, Zampa, Hazlewood.

Sri Lanka flag for our Australia vs Sri Lanka Betting Tips

Sri Lanka Recent Form

It’s now three wins in a row for Sri Lanka after winning their last two matches in the first round to even get this far.

Against Ireland they did everything right. They bowled extremely well to restrict them to 128 and once again, it was that man Hasaranga de Silva leading by example.

He took 2-25 and is now considerably ahead on the top bowler charts for the World Cup with nine.

It’s worth remembering he was already the tournament’s top wicket-taker last year and it would be some feat if he managed to win it again.

But everyone did their bit with the ball. Mahesh Theekshana bowled 2-19 and all six bowlers that were used took at least one wicket, without going for more than 29 runs.

It was a particularly good effort given they’re missing their best pace bowler in Dashmeentha Chameera, who has already flown home injured.

And if there were to be any nerves in what was a small chase, they were quickly put to bed by Kusal Mendis.

The keeper/batsman followed up his 79 in the last match with an unbeaten 68 here in the chase to win his second successive man-of-the-match award.

So from being one loss away from going out in the first round, they now have a win on the board in the Super 12 stage and an excellent net run rate to go with it.

That’s the good news.

The bad news is that was arguably their easiest match and every opponent from hereon is likely to present a considerably tougher task.

We’ll have to wait and see if opening batsman Nissanka will recover in time to feature here.

If not, all-rounder Dhananjaya de Silva will carry on opening the batting with Mendis.

Likely XI

Mendis, Dhananjaya, Asalanka, Ashen Bandara,  Bhanuka Rajapaksa,  Dasun Shanaka (c), Wanindu Hasaranga de Silva, Chamika Karunaratne, Maheesh Theekshana, Lahiru Kumara, Binura Fernando.

Australia vs Sri Lanka Head-to-Head

These two have played each other plenty of times in T20Is: 25 times to be exact.

Australia have won 15 of those with Sri Lanka coming up on top on 10 occasions.

But it’s been all Australia of late. They beat them 4-1 in Australia in February of this year and Australia also won a series 2-1 in Sri Lanka in June.

Venue & conditions

We’re at Perth for this one.

Normally this is a high-scoring ground but that certainly wasn’t the case when England played Afghanistan here on Saturday.

There was plenty of pace and bounce for the England quicks to explore, which included Sam Curran taking five wickets as Afghanistan could muster just 112.

And that target certainly wasn’t a walk in the park for England chasing a sub-par total.

Not only was there something in the wicket for the fast bowlers in the first innings but Afghanistan’s spinners found plenty of turn in the second innings.

So if Sri Lanka bat first, they could find this a tough task and it might be worth going under 140 first innings runs against an Australian attack that had a bad day at the office on Saturday but are generally very good in their own conditions.

But if Australia bat first, they could take advantage of a depleted Sri Lanka attack and could well post 165 or more if they get going.

There’s an outside chance of rain but we should get a completed match and with any luck, not lose any overs to the weather.