Sri Lanka Tour England: 3rd ODI Betting Tips & Predictions

Sri Lanka Tour England: 3rd ODI Betting Tips & Predictions
James Pacheco profile image

Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Last updated on 2nd July 2021

Published: 02/07/2021

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

It’s 2-0 England after a relatively comfortable win at The Oval and we now head to Bristol for the 3rd ODI, starting on Saturday, July 3, the first ball bowled at 3:30 pm IST I’ll give you the latest team news, key stats, pitch report and of course, those all-important online cricket betting odds ahead of the game.

But what I’ll also give you is our top England v Sri Lanka betting tips which include a big-priced tip on the Sri Lanka top batsman market!

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England vs Sri Lanka Betting Odds

I’m guessing you’re an Indian sports betting fan and are after the best cricket betting tips? If so, you’ve come to the right place. Below are our three top tips ahead of the game, before we go on to explain why we’re so keen on those England v Sri Lanka betting tips.

I think England should make it 3-0 here but I also think we can get a bigger price on England in live betting than what we’d get at the start of the game. Read on to find out why see things that way.

Bet Odds Site
England to win @ 1.5 in live betting 1.5 Pure Win
Toss winner: England 1.9 10CRIC
HOT BET! Dasun Shanaka to be Sri Lanka Top Batsman 9.5 10CRIC 

Sri Lanka Tour England: 3rd ODI Betting Slip from 10CRIC

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English Flag to represent the English cricket team news ahead of the final ODI against Sri Lanka

England Team News

England made a couple of changes ahead of the last game but the result was the same.

In came Tom Curran and Jason Roy for Chris Woakes and Liam Livingstone, but England were just as clinical as they had been in that first game.

The star of the show was Sam Curran, who took five wickets and was unsurprisingly named man of the match.

It takes some doing to dismiss the opposition’s Top 3 single-handedly but the younger of the two Currans seems to be getting better and better by the game and was at his best on Thursday, getting the ball to swing prodigiously and giving the Sri Lankan middle-order lots of recovery work to do.

We were bitterly unlucky to miss out on a winning bet on David Willey, who took four wickets.

In normal circumstances that would have been more than enough to win because it’s almost unheard of that a bowler takes five wickets in an ODI; but sometimes that’s just the way things go.

England should think about giving a couple of ‘newbies’ a game with the Series won. Tom Banton could play instead of Jonny Bairstow and George Garton deserves a game, with Mark Wood likely to make way.

Either way, the England v Sri Lanka betting odds suggest England will win whoever they decide to field for this particular game.

England’s Likely XI

Roy, Banton, Root, Morgan, Billings, Ali, Woakes, Sam Curran, Willey, Rashid, Garton.

Sri Lankan flag to represent the Sri Lankan cricket team news ahead of the final ODI against England

Sri Lanka Team News

A horrendous top-order collapse meant the result was never in doubt after the first half hour.

That’s certainly not what I want to see in an ODI because this format takes eight hours or so to play and it’s not much fun knowing who’s going to win just a few overs into the game!

But as we’ve said many a time already, this is a Sri Lankan side with lots of problems in terms of personnel. It’s not an exaggeration to say that they’re missing at least five or six players who in normal circumstances would walk into the side.

Still, there were a couple of positives. All-rounders Dhananjaya de Silva and Dasun Shanaka did their absolute best to make a game out of it with knocks of 91 and 47 respectively and with the ball Dushmantha Chameera was economical, even though he didn’t take a wicket.

It’s still a bit odd that Sri Lanka have decided not to play Usuru Udana given an accurate bowler who can bat at eight seems like just the sort of player they could do with.

But I have a feeling he might play in this game.

Sri Lanka’s Likely XI

Nissanka, Perera, Asalanka, Dhananjaya de Silva, Shanaka, Hasaranga, Karunaratne, Udana, Binura Fernando, Chameera.

Venue & conditions

Bristol is generally a ground that produces a fair contest between bat and ball.

Over the years we’ve seen some early movement with the ball swinging so that could bring the likes of Sam Curran, David Willey and Chameera into play.

Sri Lanka may decide their best bet if they win the toss is to bowl first this time. Two horrible batting collapses have left them with too much to do so it may be time to switch tactics.

There’s about a 40% chance of rain throughout pretty much the whole match so we could see some overs lost in the game and Duckworth-Lewis-Stern come into play.

Then again, this is English weather. So you never know.

England vs Sri Lanka Head-to-Head

England’s win on Thursday put them further ahead on the…England v Sri Lanka head-to-head.

So that’s 38 wins for England plays 36 for Sri Lanka. But England have had the upper hand of late, including these two wins in the current Series.

They’ve now won eight of the last ten completed ODIs between the two. The momentum has very much shifted over the last couple of years and quite frankly, England look a cut above their opponents at present.

England vs Sri Lanka Head-to-Head before the third ODI game

England vs Sri Lanka Toss Prediction

Below are the England v Sri Lanka toss winner statistics across the 76 ODIs they’ve played against each other. England to win the toss was one of our winning bets in the first match and it was also a winning bet in the second game.

The numbers below clearly prove that Morgan has been the luckier one with the toss over the years so the smart move would be to stick with him. It would be silly to jump shop when he’s been so profitable for us up to now.

England vs Sri Lanka Toss Winner before the third ODI game

TEAMS TOSS WIN %
England 45 58.44%
Sri Lanka 32 41.56%

England vs Sri Lanka Winner Prediction

Recommended Bet: Back England to win in live betting @ 1.5 with Pure Win

So a quick recap of what we’ve done so far this Series in terms of trying to make a profit.

A reminder that we exchanged our match winner prediction for bets on whether a century would be scored in the game. In the first match we went ‘no’ which won at 2.3 and in the second we went ‘yes’.a 1.6, which didn’t win.

So it’s basic maths to conclude that a bet at 2.3 that won and one at 1.6 which didn’t, still shows us a profit.

So what are we doing this time? We think that Sri Lanka can only get better for getting more used to English conditions as the Series progresses and that England may somewhat take their foot off the pedal given they’re 2-0 up and may give some lesser players a chance.

So we revert back to our strategy of trying to back England at 1.5 or better in live betting.

It’s just a case of waiting for a good start for Sri Lanka with the bat or a poor one from England, where their batsmen play a little too freely and give their wicket away.

So back England at 1.5 in live betting at any stage because we’re confident that if they have a couple of problems, they’ll be able to overcome them.

They’re good enough, no doubt about that.  If they never reach 1.5 in live betting, don’t bet. No harm done.

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Today’s England vs Sri Lanka Hot Bet

Recommended bet: Back Dasun Shanaka to be Sri Lanka Top batsman @ 9.5 with 10CRIC

We haven’t changed our minds about Dasun Shanaka being a top-class batsman who has the class, ability and temperament that should hold him in good stead to play a strong innings in conditions that should suit him better than most of the other Sri Lankan batsmen.

The proof is in the pudding. In the first game he was out for just 1 but in the second his  well-constructed 47 off 67 was trumped only by Dhananjaya de Silva’s excellent 91.

This is a batsman with something about him who looked really good last time out and in a batting line-up where I can’t really trust anyone beyond maybe Kusal Perera, I’m delighted to be able to get 9.5 about a player with his credentials.

England vs Sri Lanka fun statistics

Shall we go through some quick stats and facts before the game starts? Let’s do it.

  • No century has been scored across the last eight ODIs between the two sides.
  • Sam Curran’s five-wicket haul last time out was his first in any form of limited-overs cricket.
  • Joe Root is in brilliant form with unbeaten scores of 79 not out nad 68 not out from his last two games.
  • De Silva’s 91 last time out was his highest score in ODIs.
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