South Africa vs Bangladesh Betting Tips

South Africa vs Bangladesh Betting Tips T20 World Cup 2022
James Pacheco profile image

Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Updated 26/10/2022

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

Our online cricket betting analysis and South Africa vs Bangladesh betting tips are coming right up before this important match at the T20 World Cup.

SA will need to recover from the disappointment of that no result against Zimbabwe while Bangladesh are at least fresh from a win over the Netherlands.

But South Africa should get their first win here. If they don’t, they’ll be under huge pressure to make the semis, so it’s a huge game for them.

The match will take place in Sydney on Thursday, October 27 at 8:30 am IST and could be an intriguing contest, so keep reading.

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South Africa vs Bangladesh Betting Odds

Up next are our cricket betting tips for this match and we’re about to explain why anything other than a South Africa win, and an easy one at that, would be a massive surprise.

So if we’re not taking a gamble on Bangladesh because they’re not worth it, nor are we backing SA at such short odds, then what are we doing?

There’s a good alternative by backing Bangladesh on another market and I’m about to tell you what it is. So keep reading.

There’s also the toss winner prediction coming up next.

Bet Odds Site
Bangladesh as Team with Highest Score at First Dismissal 2.18
Toss: Bangladesh 1.85

Bangladesh as Team with Highest Score at First Dismissal

We’d have to work extremely hard to find reasons to try and take a gamble on Bangladesh at odds of 4.5.

They’re not a particularly good side, they didn’t play particularly well despite winning their first game and they’ve never beaten South Africa in this format in seven attempts.

And we’d need a stroke of luck for our tried and trusted strategy of getting a bigger price in Live Betting of around 1.5 on South Africa to be able to come into play.

But a good alternative to backing Bangladesh to win is to back them to have the highest score after their first dismissal.

In other words, which side will have scored the most runs when they lose their first wicket.

As we know, it only takes one ball for a wicket so it would be a lot easier for Bangladesh to be competitive in this regard than to win the match.

But there are two other reasons.

Taskin Ahmed is good with the new ball and could claim an early wicket.

That’s helped by the fact that SA carry on playing Temba Bavuma, who is quite frankly, a liability. He’s been on a low run of scores for a while and another here would really help our cause.

Bangladesh to win this market is a 2.18 chance and that’s a far better option than going with them to win the game.

And if you haven’t read it already, here’s our BlueChip review.

South Africa flag for our South Africa vs Bangladesh Betting Tips

South Africa Recent Form

South Africa got a reminder on Monday that cricket can at times be an extremely cruel game.

In a game that had already been reduced to nine overs-a side-against Zimbabwe, they absolutely raced to 51/0 thanks to an all-out attack by Quinton de Kock, who scored 47 off just 18 balls, chasing 79/5.

In fact, with a further reduction of overs, they pretty much just needed the five overs (to make it an official game) to be completed to win the game on the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method given they were 5 runs ahead.

There were numerous interruptions during SA’s innings and at times the players were in action while there was plenty of rain falling around them.

Zimbabwe coach Dave Houghton was chief among those who (rightly) argued they shouldn’t have been out there in the first place because these were quite dangerous conditions.

But when all was said and done and the match was finally called off for good, it ended in a no-result, which wasn’t a good result for SA at all.

Not only were they heavy favourites to win the match but they were ahead for most of the match that was played.

They’ll look back at it as an opportunity missed and it may yet make all the difference as to whether they qualify for the semis.

In the end they went with skipper Temba Bavuma instead of Reeza Hendricks which as we’ve argued already in our South Africa team analysis, is a massive negative.

They also played fast bowler Lungi Ngidi instead of spinner Tabraiz Shamsi but that had a lot to do with the conditions on the day.

But they may well go with the same team again.

Likely XI

De Kock, Bavuma, Roussouw, Markram, Miller, Stubbs, Parnell, Maharaj, Rabada, Nortje, Ngidi.

Bangladesh flag for our South Africa vs Bangladesh Betting Tips

Bangladesh Recent Form

Good news: Bangladesh secured a T20 World Cup win in the main tournament, something they’ve found a struggle over the past few competitions.

Bad news: the match against the Netherlands was the easiest game they’ll get to play in this edition with even their match against Zimbabwe likely to be more of a challenge.

And it was a match they could easily have lost anyway. They were in trouble before good knocks by Afif Hossain (38) and Mosaddek Hossai (20) gave them something to defend.

And despite claiming early wickets, they never felt like the game was won while Colin Ackerman was still in.

Ackerman ended up scoring 62 off 48 and had he been around for a couple more overs it may have been very tight indeed.

Bangladesh’s star man and the eventual man-of-the-match was Taskin Ahmed. His brilliant spell of bowling (4-25) saw him dismiss three of the Netherlands’ Top 4 and was as good as we’ve seen this tournament by a fast bowler.

Skipper and talisman Shakib Al-Hasan had a quiet game by his standards, contributing just seven with the bat and taking a solitary wicket.

They’ll need plenty from him, Ahmed and opener Litton Das here if they’re going to be competitive.

Likely XI

Shanto, Das, Sarkar, Shakib, Afif, Nurul, Yasir Ali, Hossain, Shoriful, Taskin, Mustafizur.

South Africa vs Bangladesh Head-to-Head

Seven matches between these two have produced seven wins for South Africa.

Yes, South Africa are generally pretty good in this format and the Tigers have struggled.

But even then, it’s not often you see a head- to-head record quite as dominant as that.

And there have been some proper beatings in there.

At last year’s World Cup, SA rolled them over for just 84 an dthe only surprise was that it took them 13.3 overs to chase it.

Before that, they scored 224 at home and bowled Bangladesh out for just 141.

So it’s been all South Africa ever since they started playing each other.

Venue & conditions

We’ve only had one match at the SCG so far: Australia vs New Zealand.

New Zealand posted a huge 200 runs but they did also bat exceptionally well to get there.

Finn Allen’s quickfire knock of 41 and Devon Conway’s 92 were two of the stand-out innings of the tournament so far and it won’t be easy for any other teams to get close to that.

In fact, if Bangladesh bat first, a strong South African attack can make the most of a wicket that will suit the likes of Kagiso Rabada and Anrich Nortje.

So it could pay to go under 150 Bangladesh runs on the first innings runs line.