West Indies vs Australia: 3rd ODI Betting Tips & Predictions

West Indies vs Australia 3rd ODI Betting Tips & Predictions
James Pacheco profile image

Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Last updated on 26th July 2021

Published: 26/07/2021

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

The third and final ODI between West Indies and Australia will be played at Bridgetown in Barbados and will start at 12:00 am IST on Tuesday, July 27.

We’re going to give you the team news, pitch report, some interesting stats and we’ll round things off with some West Indies v Australia betting tips.

We’ll also give you the reasoning behind our cricket betting tips.

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West Indies vs Australia Betting Odds

Time for our cricket betting tips. I’ll tell you what you put your money on and where, so you can get the best of today’s ODI betting odds.

I have a strong opinion on who’s going to win this third and final match, and it’s not Australia!

There’s also a good bet on an in-form Windies bowler.

Bet Odds Site
Match-winner: West Indies 1.97 Bollybet
Toss winner: Australia 1.90 Betway
HOT BET! Akeal Hossein to be Windies Top Bowler
4.00 Betway

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West Indies flag to represent the Windies team news ahead of the ODI series against Australia

West Indies Team News

Positives from Sunday’s win: they won.

They also had Australia at 45-6, showing just how well they bowled at the top, admittedly on a tricky pitch.

They can also reflect on how two members of their sometimes fragile middle-order bailed them out and got them over the line after Nicholas Pooran hit an unbeaten 59 and Jason Holder struck 52 off 69.

Negatives: if they had the Aussies at 45-6, then how did they let them end up getting 187? That proved to be a decent total in the end in tough conditions and had it not been for that Pooran/Holder partnership and they may well have lost the match.

How on earth did they let the likes of Adam Zampa and Wes Agar, who bat at 9 and 10 for a reason, to score 36 and 41 respectively? That 36 from Zampa was his highest-ever score after 63 ODIs.

Skipper Pollard also won’t be best pleased that three of the more experienced batsmen – Evin Lewis, Darren Bravo and himself- were out for a combined three runs.

Bravo may be sacrificed after two failures. That could mean bringing back Shimron Hetmyer or playing an extra all-rounder in Fabien Allen if he’s fit.

Jason Mohammed will be pretty lucky if he plays after two very ordinary performances in the first two games but they don’t really have much in terms of alternatives unless, once again, Allen is fit.

West Indies Likely XI

Hope, Lewis, Hetmyer, Darren Bravo, Pooran, Pollard, Holder, Hosein, Walsh, Joseph, Cottrell.

Australian flag logo to represent the Australia team news ahead of the ODI series against the Windies

Australia Team News

As we just explained, a disastrous start to the innings only resulted in a somewhat respectable score because Zampa and Agar, with the help of Matthew Wade (also 36) and Mitchell Starc (19) batted sensibly and with discipline.

At least they were considerably better with the ball. Mitchell Starc, who took three wickets for just 26 runs off 10 overs, was excellent again, after being man-of-the-match in the first game.

Adam Zampa was good as well (2-43) but maybe skipper Alex Carey should have bowled Wes Agar more rather than giving Mitch Marsh and Ashton Turner nine overs between them.

Ben McDermott is having a shocker.  In four games this tour he’s scored 2, 7, 28 and the last time, he was out for a two-ball duck.

The only real option they have is to drop McDermott as an opener, open with Matthew Wade and bring in Bet India favourite Dan Christian to bat at six or seven and bowl a few overs.

Josh Hazlewood is likely to return with Riley Meredith likely to make way.

Australia’s Likely XI

Philippe, Wade, Marsh, Henriques, Carey, Turner, Christian, Starc, Adam Zampa, Wes Agar, Josh Hazlewood.

Venue & conditions

We’ve had two matches at Bridgetown so far and the scores batting first were 252 (enough for Australia to win pretty easily) and 187 (not enough for Australia to defend).

So you’d think that anything above about 230 and you’re very much in the game batting first. That said, that same 230 isn’t too many as long as the chasing side doesn’t lose too many early wickets.

There has been something there for both seamers and spinners so far in these two games which makes it not just a fair contest, but a fascinating one.

West Indies vs Australia Head-to-Head

The West Indies v Australia head to head show that they’ve played each other 142 times in ODIs. Australia have won 75 of those and after Thursday’s win, West Indies are now at 61.

Three games have ended in draws while in the other three, there was no result.

The Windies have some catching up to do.

West Indies vs Australia Toss Prediction

Time to talk West Indies v Australia toss winner statistics.

Alex Carey won the toss on debut as skipper and won it yet again in the second match. Not that it did them much good.

So the Adelaide Strikers man is clearly a lucky captain and we’re banking on him winning it again. Especially given Australia are ahead over the years when it comes to the toss.

TEAMS TOSS WIN %
West Indies 68 47.88%
Australia 74 52.11%

West Indies vs Australia Winner Prediction

Recommended Bet: Back West Indies to win @ 1.97 with Bollybet

Time for our match prediction.

The West Indies v Australia betting odds give the Windies a 1.97 chance, which is an implied win probability of 50.8%

What’s worth pointing out is that though that figure is above 50%, the Windies are actually outsiders because Australia are just 1.78.

So who are we backing? We’re backing the team who ‘should’ be favourites and that’s the Windies.

Australia simply have too many out-of-form batsmen as evidenced by the fact that the only players who got any runs last time out were the bowlers.

Their best chance would probably be to bowl first, get to 230 and just hope that Starc bowls out of his skin at the top and that Zampa can show some control in the middle overs. And that scoreboard pressure does the rest.

But that’s a big ‘if’ and on home soil, fresh from a moralising win, we’re going with the hosts.

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Today’s West Indies vs Australia Hot Bet

Recommended Bet: Back Akeal Hossein West Indies Top Bowler @ 4.0 with Betway

Akeal Hossein’s performance last time out was one of the chief reasons why the Windies won the game after he took 3/30.

I always believe that in a Series like this where several matches are played on the same wicket, it’s going to start wearing and playing into the hands of the spinners.

So that’s why it’s a straight choice for me for Top Windies bowler between Hayden Walsh and Akeal Hossein. They’re both excellent players and there’s not much to choose between them in terms of wickets for the Series with Walsh on six and Hossein on five.

But I’ll go with Hossein after his performance last time out and also because he’s available at slightly bigger odds.

West Indies vs Australia fun statistics

Here are some cool stats to round things off.

  • He may have played a big part with the bat in the 2nd ODI but Jason Holder has taken just one wicket in 15 overs this Series.
  • Hayden Walsh has a brilliant economy rate in this Series so far: 3.55 off 20 overs.
  • Only four fifties have been scored in the first two matches of the Series and no centuries.
  • Kieron Pollard is the only player to have hit three sixes so far in this Series.
  • Alex Carey has faced the most balls1370 so far across the two matches (102).