The latest Big Bash betting has the Heat as marginal favourites to knock out the Adelaide Strikers when they play at the GABBA in Brisbane in the first match of the Playoffs, on Friday, January 29, start time 2.45 pm IST.
A reminder that this is the game between the fourth and fifth-placed teams from the Group Stages with the winner of this going on to play the third-placed Sydney Thunder. For a full guide to how the Big Bash Playoffs will unfold, who’s playing who and the latest odds, just read our special Big Bash Playoffs preview.
This should make for a great game and a good advert for what’s been an excellent tournament so far. Our best Brisbane Heat v Adelaide Strikers tips are up next.
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Brisbane Heat v Adelaide Strikers H2H
Strikers to win: why is this a good bet?
The much-improved performances of the Heat and their fighting spirit are half of the reason why they’ve made it this far. The other half is quite simply the form of Chris Lynn. In their must-win game against the Scorchers, it was once again Lynn’s 51 off just 25 that gave the Heat a brilliant start, had them ahead of the Scorchers for the Bash Boost point and ultimately was one of the big factors in that win. Then again, that should come as no surprise because Lynn has been bailing them out all season.
The relevance of this is that a Lynn failure (he’s only human after all) and the Heat may be left without a gameplan. Marnus Labuschagne has given the team a real boost with some smart batting and perhaps more surprisingly, some really good bowling, but Lynn aside, they still look like quite a limited side.
I prefer the Strikers who may lack real stars with the ball but have a balanced bowling line-up with plenty of class and variety whereas you’d think that one of Salt, Head, Weatherald or Carey will get to 50 and build them a good platform.
For good measure, the Strikers beat the Heat twice in the Group Stages so that makes up our mind for us.
Mitch Swepson Heat Top Bowler: why is this a good bet?
- Bowled very well in his last two BBL games, taking 2/26 and 2/20.
- Career strike rate of 20.4 is impressive.
- Classy player as shown by the fact he played the T20 series against India recently.
- Only Steketee has been consistent for the Heat all season.
- Good price at 4.35.
Why our hot bet is so hot
This bet is a sort of case of… hedging your bets. We said that only Lynn might be able to save the Heat so we really need to make sure we side with him in some way. It makes sense to go with for Heat top batsman.
We’ve discussed Lynn’s numbers here at BetIndia before but they’re so outrageous we need to go through them again. Especially because this could be his last game in this year’s BBL.
He has 420 runs to sit in third for top run scorers of the BBL season and this despite playing just 10 matches when other players have played 14. He’s the Heat’s top scorer by some distance and his 5 fifties are more than anyone else in the BBL has managed in four fewer games.
His strike rate (157) is the second-highest of anyone in the Top 15 of the top scorers bar Alex Hales (163) and he’s now been the Heat’s top scorer seven times in 10 innings. This last stat is the most crucial of all and explains why his odds are actually very fair.
Brisbane Heat v Adelaide Strikers live betting tip
If the Heat bat first, you know what to expect: fireworks from that man Lynn. It’s at the start that they’re dangerous and it may just be worth taking a gamble on the Heat going above the runs line after 10 or 12 overs. So if the line at the start is over/under 75 runs for the first 10 overs, don’t be afraid to go ‘over’.
Big Bash big stats
- Strikers 8-5 up on head to head.
- Strikers won the two Group matches this season.
- Remarkably, Jimmy Peirson has more runs (239) in this fixture than Chris Lynn (208).
- Alex Carey is the only player to have a century in this game. He scored 101 just a week ago.
- The Strikers’ Wes Agar has 21 wickets in the competition but hasn’t taken any wickets in three of his last four games.
- The Strikers’ Weatherald has 401 runs including 21 sixes.
- The Heat and the Strikers have both won the BBL once.
Where to bet on today’s BBL game
So those are our Brisbane Heat v Adelaide Strikers tips for the game.
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