New Zealand vs India ICC World Test Championship Betting Tips & Predictions

Indian and Australian captains pose
Check out the best odds for the second test.

New Zealand host India in this two-Test series starting on Friday, February 21 at 04:00 IS (11:30 local time) at Basin Reserve, Wellington.

Cricket betting fans won’t be surprised to see the New Zealand v India odds have Virat Kohli’s men down as favourites to win the First Test. After all, their record in the Test Championship is immaculate, with seven wins from seven games. The Black Caps may be languishing down in sixth with just one win from five but they’re always incredibly tough to beat in their own conditions.

Below we have all the best betting tips ahead of the first delivery.

Best betting sites for New Zealand v India

Match facts

  • Since December 2013, sides winning the toss in New Zealand have fielded first 89% of the time (28 matches). The percentage of sides fielding first for the rest of the world in that period is just 23% (253 Tests).
  • Five of the last six Tests played at Wellington produced a result.
  • In five of the last six games at Basin Reserve, the side batting first failed to get to 300.
  • New Zealand is the only country in the world where the average second innings score is over 400.
  • Ross Taylor is about to become the first player ever to have played 100 times in all three formats, having already played over 100 T20Is and ODIs.

New Zealand v India best odds and top tips

In a short two-match Series it may simply come down to who is luckier with the toss, with bowling first always being a huge advantage here in New Zealand. If the luck levels itself out, we could well get a drawn series here, which is an attractive price.

Looking just at the First Test and Ross Taylor, making his 100th Test appearance, is the man to side with for the Kiwis for top bat honours. He’s just been getting better and better since an eye operation fixed a problem with his sight and has been hitting the ball as well as at any stage of his sparkling career.

These are our best bets ahead of the Series, available to back at the top betting sites in India, so check them out.

Bet Odds Site
Back the drawn series 5.5 Betway
Back Ross Taylor to be New Zealand First Test (First Innings) Top Batsman 4.5 Betway

India Test match form W-W-W-W-W

We all know how devastating India are in at home but the jury is still out as to whether they can do the business in these sort of conditions. The moving ball has been their downfall in the past and in 2018 they lost away in both England and South Africa, two sides a couple of notches below them in terms of overall ability. Back in 2014, they lost a Series here 1-0, so they know they’re in for a couple of weeks of hard work.

Team India have their own weapons with the ball. Mohammad Shami and Jasprit Bumrah are just as capable of exploiting swinging conditions as the Black Caps’ bowlers and Ravi Ashwin is always around to be a menace if the pitch starts taking spin.

If there’s one obvious area of weakness it might be in their opening partnership with the bat. With Rohit Sharma out injured, they’ll have to field the inexperienced pair of Mayank Agarwal and Prithvi Shaw.

Key players

Virat Kohli is as ever, the key wicket for New Zealand to target. The Indian skipper scores mountains of runs wherever he plays, whatever the format.

But don’t forget about their rock at number three: Cheteshwar Pujara. The harder the conditions are for batting, the more important he becomes to the cause with his ability to occupy the crease for hours on end.

New Zealand’s Test match form L-L-L-D-W

New Zealand’s poor standing in the Test Championship doesn’t do them justice. They’re poor travellers but the Black Caps are excellent on home soil, where they’ve lost just two Tests in their last 14 series. The only side with a better home record than that over the same period is…India.

Kohli and the Indian side prepare for the ICC tournement against New Zealand

The secret to their success is to prepare wickets where the ball will swing and seam, something that their bowlers are masters at executing, especially when bowling first. Add in an excellent slip cordon and the astute captaincy of Kane Williamson and you can see how they’ve often put pressure on opponents by taking quick wickets at the top of the order.

Having said that, their batsmen aren’t in the greatest of form. Tom Latham had a poor series in Australia and even the brilliant Williamson hasn’t been at his best with the bat, either. There will be periods where they just have to bat time rather than scoring quick runs so technique and concentration will be of paramount importance to their batters.

Key players

Chief among the Kiwis’ brilliant seam bowlers are opening pair Trent Boult and Tim Southee, who can bend the ball around corners. Bowling just short of a length outside the off-stump, they will surely Test India’s batsmen throughout; but they’re without Neil Wagner, another prolific wicket-taker.

Look out for busy wicket-keeper batsman BJ Watling, who has rescued them plenty of late with the bat, coming in at six.

Where to Bet on New Zealand vs India

This could be a really tight series with two teams who might just cancel each other out over the course of two fluctuating matches, which is why that drawn series price makes so much appeal.

If the occasion of marking his 100th Test appearance doesn’t get him to him, Ross Taylor could trump his skipper Williamson for top bat honours, because at the moment Taylor’s batting as well as anyone in the international game.

All the usual suspects are pretty short prices for man-of-the-match so it could pay to side with Tim Southee, instead. The Kiwi bowler is unplayable on his day with his deadly accuracy and if the hosts are to win this First Test, he’ll surely have a huge part to play.

Bet Odds Site
Back the drawn series 5.5 Betway
Back Ross Taylor to be New Zealand First Test (First Innings) Top Batsman 4.5 Betway
Back Tim Southee to be man-of-the-match in the First Test 12.0 10CRIC

This should be a really good Series between two sides who play an intriguing brand of Test cricket and is a good chance to see two of the world’s premium batsmen and captains – Willaimson and Kohli – pit their wits against each other.