India vs Pakistan Betting Tips

India vs Pakistan Betting Tips Asia Cup 2022
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Betting Expert, James Pacheco

Updated 03/09/2022

Categories: Cricket, Predictions

It’s yet another match at the 2022 Asia Cup Super 4 Stage but it’s not just another match. It’s the biggest match in cricket full stop: it’s India vs Pakistan! And if you’d like some top India vs Pakistan betting tips for this hugely important match, you’re about to get them.

Our online cricket betting analysis of this match also includes everything you need to know for the match in Dubai on Sunday, September 4, with a start time of 7.30 pm IST. 

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India vs Pakistan Betting Odds

My cricket betting tips are below and I’m about to explain why there’s only one sensible way to play the winner market.

It involves betting on Pakistan but only in one set of circumstances. Keep reading and you’ll find out what those circumstances are.

I’ve also got a tip on the toss winner market and a third one on who can top score for Pakistan at attractive odds of 4.5.

Bet Odds Website
Winner: Pakistan ONLY IF THEY CHASE. 2.1
Toss: Pakistan. 1.9
HOT BET: Back Fakhar Zahman to be Pakistan Top Batsman 4.5

India vs Pakistan Betting Winner Prediction

Recommended Bet: Back Pakistan to win if they chase @ 2.1 or more with Pure Win.

This match offers an interesting dilemma. India are 1.52 and Pakistan are 2.56 with Pure Win.

Those odds are very fair given that India:

  1. Beat Pakistan last Sunday.
  2. Have a very good head-to-head record against Pakistan in T20Is.
  3. Are arguably the better side in general.

But you simply can’t ignore the fact that the side chasing here in Dubai has a massive edge, as explained in the venue and conditions section.

So if you back India at 1.52 and they have to bat first, that’s a poor value bet. If you back them at those odds and they chase, it’s a decent bet.

If you wait for the toss and they chase, then they’ll only be around the 1.35-1.4 mark and that’s too short a price against a good Pakistan side, irrespective of the toss.

So betting on India in any form is fraught with danger.

But you also wouldn’t want to be backing Pakistan at 2.52 pre-match and then have them at those odds if they had to bat first.

Although they’d be a great price at those pre-match odds if they were chasing!

See why it’s such a dilemma?!

So there really is only one way to play it: back Pakistan post-toss in Live Betting ONLY IF THEY CHASE.

If they chase, they’ll be around 2.1-2.2 and you’ll have a good value bet given the toss bias in Dubai. It really is the only sensible way to play.

If Pakistan have to bat first, then don’t bet at all.

Our Pure Win review explains what we like about this betting site and why it’s one of the ones we recommend the most.

India vs Pakistan Odds for Hot Bet

Recommended Bet: Back Fakhar Zahman to be Pakistan Top Batsman @ 4.5 with Betway.

In normal circumstances, it’s not worth looking too far beyond Mohammad Rizwan or Babar Azam for Pakistan’s top batsman.

They’re ranked 3 and 1 respectively in the ICC T20I rankings for batsmen.

But these aren’t normal circumstances.

India have a strong bowling attack and it wouldn’t be too much of a surprise if one of Pakistan’s two openers got out early.

As we mention below, Azam has now had two low scores in a row.

One of those two getting out could open the door to the very capable Fakhar Zahman batting at three.

He’s fresh from a good knock of 53 off 41 and is almost twice the odds of the two openers at 4.5; that will do us just fine.

Want to know why Betway is such a highly recommended site and what bonuses you can get there as a new and existing customer? Find out in our Betway review.

India vs Pakistan Betting tips & Predictions=

India’s Recent Form

Two good wins for India in the Group Stages, just about getting over the line against Pakistan and beating Hong Kong easily, despite HK putting on a decent performance with the bat in reply.

They were favourites to win before it started and remain so, at 1.7 with Betway.

Last time it was Sky Yadav making sure that HK weren’t going to give them a scare.

His 68 off 26 was a reminder of what he can do and why the Mumbai Indians in the IPL refuse to let him go to another side, knowing full well what a wonderful T20 player he is.

Having been drafted into the side to give Hardik Pandya a rest, Rishabh Pant didn’t bat at all because they only lost two wickets and he didn’t keep wicket, either.

It’s highly likely Pandya will return but let’s see if Dinesh Karthik keeps his place or if Pant is given a go again.

But they’re forced to make a change.

Ravindra Jadeja is injured and out of the tournament and Axar Patel has been drafted in as his replacement into the squad; given he’s very similar to Jadeja in terms of his role, he’s the favourite to play.

India’s Likely XI

Sharma, Rahul, Kohli, Yadav, Pandya, Karthik, Patel, Kumar, A Khan, Singh, Chahal.

India vs Pakistan Betting Tips & Predictions

Pakistan’s Recent Form

After that defeat against India last Sunday that would have hurt them, their win against Hong Kong was as convincing as you can get in T20 cricket.

They put on a strong performance with the bat to get to 193/2 thanks to another solid batting display from Mohammad Rizwan (78 off 57), a good knock from Fakhar Zahman (53 off 41) and a blistering cameo from Shushdil Shah (35 off 15).

In reply, they were absolutely ruthless with the ball, dismissing Hong Kong for just 38; no-one from HK scored more than eight.

We can consider ourselves incredibly unlucky not to have collected on Shadab Khan for man of the match at 11.0. 

His figures of 4-8 would have been enough to pick up the MOM award in most games but instead it was Rizwan with his 78 who got it.

But they’ll need to improve in terms of scoring faster at the start of the innings. A strategy of going slow and accelerating at the end is risky because it won’t always come off.

Skipper Babar Azam has now been out for two low scores, which is rare for him.

They’re likely to play the same team again.

Pakistan’s Likely XI

Rizwan, Azam, Zahman, Ahmed, K Shah, A Ali, S Khan, Nawaz, Rauf, N Shah, Dawani.

India vs Pakistan Head-to-Head

The men in blue are way ahead in India vs Pakistan’s head-to-head, winning eight out of the ten matches between them after that successful chase on Sunday. It’s a very strong record.

Venue & Conditions

We’re in Dubai again.

After two low totals in the first two matches here batting first, India got to 192/2 against Hong Kong and Bangladesh to 183/7.

But we shouldn’t read too much into India’s score because HK aren’t at the same level as the other teams here, though Bangladesh’s total suggests that if you’re aggressive from the start you can post a decent score.

So what’s a par score? Against a good bowling attack (which both these teams here have) around 165 would be the sort of target you’re aiming for.

The India v HK game aside, which India would have won irrespective of who batted first, the other three games were won by the chaser.

That’s no surprise, it’s always been like that in Dubai.

So the toss is crucial here.