T20 World Cup Top Batsman Prediction: Mohammad Rizwan
Ok, so you’re probably wondering why not go with Babar Azam here instead? We all know that Pakistan skipper Azam is one of the world’s finest T20 batsmen. Apart from anything else, we know that because he’s ranked Number 2 in the ICC rankings.
He’s a real run accumulator rather than destroyer but that’s his style and he’s not going to change it now. Azam is 12.0 third favourite but rather like Kohli, those odds are partly short because he’s so famous and there will always be betting interest in him.
But at almost twice the odds you can back his likely opening partner, Mohammad Rizwan.
Let’s just compare the two for a second:
- T20I matches played: Rizwan (61) / Azam (43)
- T20I batting average: Rizwan (48.84) / Azam (46.89)
- T20 strike rate: Rizwan (129) / Azam (130)
- Matches played per fifty scored: Rizwan (5.37) Azam (3.05)
Ok, so Azam trumps Rizwan for ICC ranking (Rizwan still very high at Number 7) and games needed per fifty scored.
But Rizwan has a slightly better average and there’s nothing to choose between them in terms of strike rate. So absolutely no reason why Rizwan should be almost twice the odds.
Does he tick the other sacred boxes? Well, he’s an opener and he’s 29 years old so yes, in that regard he does. It’s also worth noting that despite not playing in the IPL (Pakistani players aren’t allowed to), he has plenty of UAE experience.
That’s because the UAE has been Pakistan’s international home for years now. As a senior player with just over 100 appearances for Pakistan across the three formats, he’s no stranger to those conditions.
As for the last point about playing for a side who at least needs to make the semis, maybe that’s not so clean cut. Pakistan are after all the sixth favourites at odds of 8.0 to win it. But another way of looking at it is that they’re 4.75 to win their Group, behind India ( 2.0) and New Zealand (4.0).
So it’s almost a coin toss between them and New Zealand according to the odds for a runner-up spot. But then again, there’s an argument to say India are far too short in the betting in all regards and that this should almost be a three-horse race where there isn’t much to choose between them.
A run to the semis or better would give us a good really run for our money with Rizwan.